Friday, January 26, 2024

Sun might get us before atomic bombs do

 

Slim Pickins rides a hydrogen bomb in "Dr. Strangelove"

      What is it with scientists and clocks? Yes, determining the duration of phenomena is important to research, not to forget seemingly unconnected realms like navigation — Britain ruled the waves for centuries, thanks to John Harrison’s clock, accurate time-keeping being the key to determining longitude.
     Clocks also serve science as metaphor — start with Albert Einstein, struggling to jibe the fixed speed of light with his aborning theory of relativity, looking at the medieval clock tower in Bern and realizing that time is not fixed, but elastic. He started sending notional clocks zipping at the speed of light in thought experiments, trying to nudge we dullards into comprehension.
     The practical value of Einstein’s 1905 musings was dramatically demonstrated at the University of Chicago in 1942, when the first controlled, self-sustaining nuclear reaction was midwifed by Enrico Fermi.
     So it makes sense that another fine Hyde Park institution, the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists — founded in 1945 by Einstein, J. Robert Oppenheimer and friends — would in 1947 use a clock as its logo, its hands set at seven minutes to midnight to convey the risk of nuclear Armageddon at the start of the Cold War. The editors took to moving the hands forward and back, warning the world how close to nuclear annihilation it was at the moment and — not incidentally, in my view — continuing the best marketing campaign for a publication other than Sports Illustrated featuring swimsuit models every February.
     That didn’t end so well for them — Sports Illustrated fired its entire staff Friday, effectively ceasing as a publication. But the Bulletin is going strong, and on Tuesday announced the clock would remain at 90 seconds to midnight, same as last year.
     “Ominous trends continue to point the world toward global catastrophe,” is the doozy of an opening line in the Bulletin’s announcement.
     I paid particular attention this year since the University of Chicago’s International House is hosting “a conversation on the existential crises facing our planet and and how we can turn back the hands of the Doomsday Clock” on Feb. 6, featuring Rachel Bronson, president and CEO of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists and Daniel Holz, a U of C Physics, Astronomy and Astrophysics professor and chair of the Bulletin’s Science and Security Board. They asked me to moderate the discussion.

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14 comments:

  1. Doomsday is here. Between AI, liars and misinformation, there is no way of avoiding Doomsday. The societal fabric of our nation was unweaving, at best, when the orange one was thrust upon us. Now it’s fibers. He sure seems to have outfoxed us once again, as he sails through the election process. Irreparable damage has already occurred. I digress.

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  2. Thank you! Feels like we're 2 seconds to midnight.. see you there.

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    1. Damn betcha! There was an old "silly song" by Eddie Cantor, one that was about little kids who fell down..."Baby Fall Down and Go Boom." Hell, we've already fallen down as a society...the Bomb...the Doomsday Clock ticking down to midnight...the Orange Guy. Now we're just waiting for the BOOM.

      When I was 14 and 15...Berlin...Cuba...a common and "sick" teen-age expression was: "Whaddaya gonna be when YOU blow up?" Ashes and radioactive dust, and maybe a few bits of bone.

      We're in so much more danger now than we were then. The clock stood at seven minutes to midnight in 1962. It was eyeball-to-eyeball time. Then...both sides blinked. Next time, we will probably not be so lucky.

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  3. Jamoke! What a great word. It always takes me home to Chicago. Thanks Neil.

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    1. I think "jamoke" is far to nice a way to describe a mentally ill anti-vax whack job, who is totally out of touch with reality.
      He says he'll support a vaccine if it's properly tested, but they all are properly tested, just not by him.
      Is he also against the polio vaccine?
      Due to his age, he certainly received the smallpox vaccine as a baby, is he also against one of the greatest accomplishments of medical science, that a dangerous disease has been completely wiped off the entire planet?
      What he is, is dangerous to our health & wellbeing & really belongs in a padded cell in a securely locked mental hospital, where he can't do any harm to us!

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    2. Agreed. I'll use "mentally ill anti-vax whack job" next time I have to refer to him — well, maybe not "mentally ill" as I'm not a licensed professional, and it's probably actionable slander, as opposed to "anti-vax whack job" which is just a dry description of RFK Jr.

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    3. I doubt if he could sue, as it's opinion & you can't sue over opinion.

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    4. My father, who grew up in Chicago in the 20s and 30s, and served in WWII (in the Army, in the Philippines), often used the word "jamoke" when I was growing up. When I got older, I thought it was a racial slur, and unique to Chicago. It's neither.

      It's an alteration of "jamocha." Both words originated in U.S. Navy slang in the late 1890s and quickly found a home in the parlance of hobos and gangsters. They blend Java and Mocha, names for two places where coffee has long been grown.

      By World War I, "jamoke had gained another slang sense, "a stupid or inconsequential fellow" or, more generically, "a man." Military personnel started to use "jamoke" jokingly for colleagues they felt weren't any more important...or intelligent...than a cup of coffee. Jamoke as coffee was often shortened to "joe"...hence the military expression..."a cuppa joe."

      There's also "jiboney"...which is more insulting, and may be a little more racial. It may have come from an Italian word..."giamoche"...not sure of the spelling. It means "loser" or "nobody" or "fraud"...and it's not really a Chicago word. I never heard it there, but I've heard it in Cleveland. Not very often, though.

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    5. My go to lately is "wanker" but guess it's gender biased but it most cases, that fits too. "Jamoke" sounds quaint in comparison--interesting info here about origins too

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  4. Well, I think Papa Fitz and his lothario of a son, Jack the Swordsman, did a fine job of sullying the Kennedy name long before Crackpot Jr showed up, but point taken.. JFK Jr is one of those unique Fantasyland dwellers we seem to get here in UhMeriKKKa.

    Calgon, take me away!

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  5. Climate change is as likely as politics to unleash the thermonuclear hounds. When actual mass migrations press against borders extreme measures are likely to be implemented. On a more hopeful side, today's photo shows a little of the progress hinted at in yesterday's post. I recognized Leo Szilard right off and Fermi I found upon a more thorough scan. The dark haired woman next to Szilard intrigued me, so I probed a litter deeper. She is Leona Woods, a local girl made good. She beat back the maleness of her generation to make the team that started a chain reaction, that while still under control, has led to the Clock which illustrates our proximity to peril.

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  6. Seems like it's kind of incumbent on the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists to pick up the swimsuit issue, don't you think?

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  7. That's a pretty sweet gig Mr. S. Will it be recorded somewhere it can be seen by non Chicagoians. The clock is set at 9 til, same as last year I think which surprised me. There's barely a day we don't say to each other, "we're doomed". I think our Mother Earth will say finally, thanks.

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